UM
Development of an adaptive Kalman filter-based storm tide forecasting model
MOK,K. M.; LAI,U. H.; HOI,K. I.
2016-12-01
Source PublicationJournal of Hydrodynamics
ISSN1001-6058
Volume28Issue:6Pages:1029-1036
AbstractExtreme storm tide usually causes flooding of low-lying land in a coastal city. Hence, developing an efficient and accurate forecasting model for issuing a timely warning is important. In this study, an adaptive Kalman filter-based storm tide forecasting model was proposed and applied to the inner Harbor of Macau. The model is a dynamic linear regression model with the harmonic tidal prediction, wind speed, wind direction and atmospheric pressure as its input parameters. With persistence forecast of weather assumed during the prediction period, the model was tested with 40 cases of storm tide induced by tropical cyclones in Macau between 2005 and 2012. Success was found for forecasts with lead times up to 3 hours. The proposed adaptive model is considered a practical tool for storm tide forecast in small coastal cities.
Keywordadaptive model flooding Kalman filter Macau storm tide
DOI10.1016/S1001-6058(16)60707-2
URLView the original
Language英语
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Cited Times [WOS]:1   [WOS Record]     [Related Records in WOS]
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionUniversity of Macau
AffiliationDepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering,University of Macau,Macau SAR,Macao
First Author AffilicationUniversity of Macau
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
MOK,K. M.,LAI,U. H.,HOI,K. I.. Development of an adaptive Kalman filter-based storm tide forecasting model[J]. Journal of Hydrodynamics,2016,28(6):1029-1036.
APA MOK,K. M.,LAI,U. H.,&HOI,K. I..(2016).Development of an adaptive Kalman filter-based storm tide forecasting model.Journal of Hydrodynamics,28(6),1029-1036.
MLA MOK,K. M.,et al."Development of an adaptive Kalman filter-based storm tide forecasting model".Journal of Hydrodynamics 28.6(2016):1029-1036.
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