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Development of an adaptive Kalman filter-based storm tide forecasting model
MOK K.M.; LAI U.H.; HOI K.I.
2016-12-01
Source PublicationJournal of Hydrodynamics
ISSN1001-6058
Volume28Issue:6Pages:1029-1036
Abstract

Extreme storm tide usually causes flooding of low-lying land in a coastal city. Hence, developing an efficient and accurate forecasting model for issuing a timely warning is important. In this study, an adaptive Kalman filter-based storm tide forecasting model was proposed and applied to the inner Harbor of Macau. The model is a dynamic linear regression model with the harmonic tidal prediction, wind speed, wind direction and atmospheric pressure as its input parameters. With persistence forecast of weather assumed during the prediction period, the model was tested with 40 cases of storm tide induced by tropical cyclones in Macau between 2005 and 2012. Success was found for forecasts with lead times up to 3 hours. The proposed adaptive model is considered a practical tool for storm tide forecast in small coastal cities.

KeywordAdaptive Model Flooding Kalman Filter Macau Storm Tide
DOIhttps://doi.org/10.1016/S1001-6058(16)60707-2
URLView the original
Indexed BySCI
Language英语
WOS Research AreaMechanics
WOS SubjectMechanics
WOS IDWOS:000389786300013
PublisherELSEVIER SCIENCE INC, 360 PARK AVE SOUTH, NEW YORK, NY 10010-1710 USA
Fulltext Access
Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionDEPARTMENT OF CIVIL AND ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING
Corresponding AuthorMOK K.M.
AffiliationDepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Macau, Macau SAR, China
First Author AffilicationUniversity of Macau
Corresponding Author AffilicationUniversity of Macau
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
MOK K.M.,LAI U.H.,HOI K.I.. Development of an adaptive Kalman filter-based storm tide forecasting model[J]. Journal of Hydrodynamics,2016,28(6):1029-1036.
APA MOK K.M.,LAI U.H.,&HOI K.I..(2016).Development of an adaptive Kalman filter-based storm tide forecasting model.Journal of Hydrodynamics,28(6),1029-1036.
MLA MOK K.M.,et al."Development of an adaptive Kalman filter-based storm tide forecasting model".Journal of Hydrodynamics 28.6(2016):1029-1036.
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