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Integrated assessment modelling as a positive science: private passenger road transport policies to meet a climate target well below 2 C-degrees
Mercure, J. -F.1,2,3; Lam, A.2,4; Billington, S.3; Pollitt, H.3
2018-11
Source PublicationCLIMATIC CHANGE
ISSN0165-0009
Volume151Issue:2Pages:109-129
Abstract

Transport generates a large and growing component of global greenhouse gas emissions contributing to climate change. Effective transport emissions reduction policies are needed in order to reach a climate target well below 2 degrees C. Representations of technology evolution in current integrated assessment models (IAM) make use of systems optimisations that may not always provide sufficient insight on consumer response to realistic policy packages for extensive use in policy-making. Here, we introduce FTT: transport, an evolutionary technology diffusion simulation model for road transport technology, as an IAM sub-component, which features sufficiently realistic features of consumers and of existing technological trajectories that enables to simulate the impact of detailed climate policies in private passenger road transport. Integrated to the simulation-based macroeconometric IAM E3ME-FTT, a plausible scenario of transport decarbonisation is given, defined by a detailed transport policy package, that reaches sufficient emissions reductions to achieve the 2 degrees C target of the Paris Agreement.

DOI10.1007/s10584-018-2262-7
URLView the original
Indexed BySSCI
Language英语
WOS Research AreaEnvironmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS SubjectEnvironmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS IDWOS:000451021600003
PublisherSPRINGER
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被引频次[WOS]:1   [WOS记录]     [WOS相关记录]
Document TypeJournal article
专题DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS
Corresponding AuthorMercure, J. -F.
Affiliation1.Radboud Univ Nijmegen, Dept Environm Sci, POB 9010, NL-6500 GL Nijmegen, Netherlands;
2.Univ Cambridge, Cambridge Ctr Environm Energy & Nat Resource Gove, David Attenborough Bldg,Pembroke St, Cambridge CB2 3QZ, England;
3.Cambridge Econometr Ltd, Cambridge CB1 2HT, England;
4.Univ Macau, Fac Social Sci Humanities & Social Sci Bldg, E21 Ave Univ, Taipa, Macau, Peoples R China
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Mercure, J. -F.,Lam, A.,Billington, S.,et al. Integrated assessment modelling as a positive science: private passenger road transport policies to meet a climate target well below 2 C-degrees[J]. CLIMATIC CHANGE,2018,151(2):109-129.
APA Mercure, J. -F.,Lam, A.,Billington, S.,&Pollitt, H..(2018).Integrated assessment modelling as a positive science: private passenger road transport policies to meet a climate target well below 2 C-degrees.CLIMATIC CHANGE,151(2),109-129.
MLA Mercure, J. -F.,et al."Integrated assessment modelling as a positive science: private passenger road transport policies to meet a climate target well below 2 C-degrees".CLIMATIC CHANGE 151.2(2018):109-129.
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